FINEXPERT REPORT March 2025
Annual GERMAN TAKEOVER REPORT March 2025
Content
4 Market Overview
13 Capital Market Reaction
17 Statements & Fairness Opinions
25 Success Rates
30 Takeover Case Study: MorphoSys AG
31 Endgame Analysis
36 Transaction Details 2024
The 2025 issue of the finexpert | ValueTrust German takeover report covers all takeover offers and delisting tender offers of the year 2024 according to the German takeover code WpÜG and provides extensive information on relevant variables like bid types, premia offered, market reaction of target’s and (if available) on bidder’s stock prices. In addition, our extensive database allows to compare last year´s figures of these variables against the moving average of the preceding years and thus to highlight trends
and long term developments. Finally, the finexpert German takeover report contains a unique and extensive analysis of fairness opinions and statements of management and supervisory board of the target company (§27 WpÜG), allowing for a detailed analysis of the relationship of these factors upon target stock price reaction and success rates of the takeover bid. Along with the “traditional” success definitions of takeover offers, we analyse an alternative success measure that takes potential bidder toeholds into account.
2024 has seen a further recovery in German public M&A activity from the low values in 2022. While the number of offers is again close to pre-Covid19 levels, deal volume is still far from the corresponding pre-crisis figures.
This report contains a detailed description of the takeover offer of Novartis BidCo AG for MorphoSys AG from February 2024.
